Hot Hand
Rolling z-score of goal contributions over last 5 matches vs season baseline.
Formula
Z-score of last-5-match contribution rate against the player's full-season distribution. Positive = on a heater. Above +1.5 = statistically anomalous form. Negative = cold.
How to read the number
What it's good for
- Catch hot streaks before bookmakers re-price
- Find FPL captains by combining Hot Hand + Hot Fixture
- Identify when teammates are quietly carrying the team
Real-world example
Cole Palmer Nov 2025: Hot Hand = +2.34 (3.1 contributions/90 vs 1.4 season).
Explore other metrics
22 in total — open Metrics Lab for the grid.
Clutch Index
How much a player over-performs their baseline in high-pressure moments.
Ghost Matches
Games where a player was statistically invisible.
Iron Index
Tackles + interceptions + clearances per 90, weighted by concession rate.
Travel Warrior
Performance delta on the road vs at home.
Sniper Score
Shot quality beyond xG — actual conversion adjusted for chance difficulty.
Pressing Index
Pressures + counter-press recoveries per 90 in the opposition half.
See Hot Hand on real players.
14-day Pro trial — open Player Lab and search any player.