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Away vs home

Travel Warrior

Performance delta on the road vs at home.

Formula

(away_xG/90 - home_xG/90) + (away_rating - home_rating) × 0.5

How much a player drops off (or doesn't) when playing away. Positive = travels well. Strongly negative = home-track-only player. Most strikers lose 15-25% xG on the road.

How to read the number

≥0 Travels well
-0.2 to 0 Average drop-off
-0.5 to -0.2 Home merchant
<-0.5 Bus pass only

What it's good for

  • Predict away-day reliability
  • Spot value when team plays mostly away
  • Compare team depth (who you can take on the road)

Real-world example

Bellingham +0.18 — actually slightly better away than at the Bernabéu.

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