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Behind-from-the-margin output

Comeback Catalyst

Goal contributions specifically when team is trailing.

Formula

(goals_when_trailing + assists_when_trailing) / total_contributions

Share of season output that came when the team was behind. Identifies players who step up when needed vs those who pad stats in blowouts.

How to read the number

35%+ Catalyst
20–35% Engaged
10–20% Standard
<10% Flat-track

What it's good for

  • Identify mental-toughness players
  • Predict comeback probability for trailing teams
  • Differentiate match-winners from stat-padders

Real-world example

De Bruyne 2023-24: 42% of contributions came when City were trailing or level.

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